Fears of a recession are back on investors’ minds. But predicting the onset of an economic downturn, let alone the length and severity of one, is difficult even for the experts. As a rule of thumb, ...

An economist has warned that the recent increase in America’s unemployment rate represents an especially concerning signal for the labor market and wider U.S. economy. On X, Justin Wolfers, a ...

The persistent decline in the US Leading Economic Index and Employment Trends Index signals rising recession risk despite the AI-driven capex surge. Employment growth has slowed to recessionary levels ...

Recent GDP growth is lagging; focus should shift to leading indicators signaling potential economic slowdown. Four underfollowed recession indicators—declining cardboard demand, heavy truck sales, Las ...

In lieu of official economic data (thanks, government shutdown), we have the Chipotle (CMG) economic indicator. And if it's to be believed on an initial pass, we are either in a mild recession or ...